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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$10.4M vol.
54%
25 bps increase46%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.2M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$133.6K vol.
87%
Yes14%
NoWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutFed Decision in December?
$1.2M vol.
69%
25 bps increase28%
No changeHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$544.1K vol.
71%
5.1%36%
5.2%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$237.6K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$51.2K vol.
20%
Below 5.24%17%
Below 5.21%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$64.7K vol.
44%
5.05%14%
5.10%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$66.4K vol.
8%
Below 4.76%4%
Below 4.73%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$303.2K vol.
53%
Below 4.7%40%
Below 4.6%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$51.1K vol.
74%
5.40%66%
5.45%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$104K vol.
38%
Hike–Pause–Hike30%
Hike–Hike–HikeFed rate cut by...?
$3.6M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting76%
June 2027 MeetingWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
54%
4.25%35%
≥ 4.5%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
$22.7K vol.
71%
4.90%100%
4.58%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$27.7K vol.
69%
4.95%97%
4.90%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$17.1K vol.
64%
Below 5.20%57%
Below 5.15%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$40.5K vol.
34%
5.39%11%
5.42%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
85%
↑ 4.25%31%
↑ 4.5%Fed Decision in January?
$110.4K vol.
57%
No change32%
25 bps increaseHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$19.6K vol.
63%
038%
1How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$16.1K vol.
34%
028%
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