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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$38.8M vol.
79%
0 (0 bps)13%
1 (25 bps)
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$1.3M vol.
57%
$2.0T-$2.5T43%
$1.5T-$2.0T
Largest Company end of June?
$23.7M vol.
99%
NVIDIA1%
Apple
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$4M vol.
86%
SpaceX13%
Anthropic
2nd largest company end of June?
$846.1K vol.
53%
Apple49%
Alphabet
GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?
$25.2K vol.
78%
$3.00-$4.0013%
<$3.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.6M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Largest Company end of July?
$10K vol.
93%
NVIDIA6%
Apple
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$3.6M vol.
73%
NVIDIA11%
Apple
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
$115.5K vol.
50%
475k+38%
450k–475k
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.6M vol.
3%
OpenAI<1%
DeepSeek
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$303.7K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$573.6K vol.
<1%
Truist<1%
Lloyds
IPOs before 2027?
$6.7M vol.
76%
Anthropic64%
Discord
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
$102.5K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.6M vol.
11%
Yes90%
No
OpenAI IPO by...?
$2.3M vol.
55%
December 31, 202612%
September 30, 2026
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$23.2K vol.
6%
Yes96%
No
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$111.5K vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
AI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
20%
December 31, 2026<1%
December 31, 2025
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$174.2K vol.
8%
Yes94%
No
3rd Largest Company end of July?
$1.5K vol.
39%
Alphabet34%
Apple
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
$268.3K vol.
4%
85%2%
90%
GPU rental prices (H100) end of June?
$21.5K vol.
45%
$2.30-$2.6042%
$2.00-$2.30
