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Politics
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$20.8M vol.
5%
Yes95%
No
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100M
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$29.8M vol.
72%
United Russia (ER)25%
New People (NL)
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$705.2M vol.
51%
J.D. Vance16%
Marco Rubio
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
$4M vol.
100%
September 4100%
September 11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom
Next French Presidential Election
$134.5M vol.
36%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard Philippe
Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
$1.3M vol.
42%
200-21930%
180-199
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$67.9M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
September 30
Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
$468.2K vol.
91%
40-6411%
65-89
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$706M vol.
23%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$66.4M vol.
18%
Yes83%
No
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$37.6M vol.
53%
Gadi Eizenkot30%
Benjamin Netanyahu
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$28.6M vol.
62%
December 3138%
October 31
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
$336.8K vol.
23%
180-19921%
200-219
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$1.4M vol.
20%
December 31, 202614%
October 31, 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$11.2M vol.
88%
Democratic Party14%
Republican Party
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$13.9M vol.
23%
December 3117%
October 31
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
$841.7K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$12.1M vol.
59%
Democrats Sweep31%
R Senate, D House
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$832K vol.
100%
September 30100%
September 15
Berlin State Election Winner
$3.8M vol.
67%
Linke27%
CDU
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$8.6M vol.
1%
Yes99%
No
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
$253.8K vol.
47%
September 30<1%
September 15
