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Politics
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$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100M
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$30.6M vol.
74%
United Russia (ER)22%
New People (NL)
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$705.3M vol.
51%
J.D. Vance16%
Marco Rubio
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$21.3M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Jon Ossoff
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$68.1M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
September 30
Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
$1.5M vol.
38%
180-19939%
200-219
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$706.2M vol.
22%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
$4.1M vol.
100%
September 4100%
September 11
Next French Presidential Election
$134.6M vol.
36%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard Philippe
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$11.3M vol.
89%
Democratic Party12%
Republican Party
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$28.7M vol.
61%
December 3133%
October 31
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$37.7M vol.
51%
Gadi Eizenkot31%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$12.3M vol.
61%
Democrats Sweep31%
R Senate, D House
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
$409.8K vol.
25%
180-19921%
200-219
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
$348.6K vol.
86%
October 3165%
September 30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$66.4M vol.
17%
Yes84%
No
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$1.4M vol.
20%
December 31, 202613%
October 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$8.7M vol.
1%
Yes99%
No
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
$841.7K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$26M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
$787.3K vol.
43%
325–33925%
340–354
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$14M vol.
22%
December 3115%
October 31
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$832K vol.
100%
September 30100%
September 15
