Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$69.9M vol.

4%
December 31
<1%
September 30
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

100%
↑3.5k
100%
↑4k
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

75%
1
24%
2
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? card icon

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$271.9K vol.

82%
December 31, 2027
51%
December 31, 2026
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? card icon

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$147.3K vol.

50%
0
34%
1
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...? card icon

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$50.2K vol.

87%
June 30, 2027?
47%
March 31, 2027
Precipitation in Seattle in September? card icon

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$29.8K vol.

45%
1.5-2"
19%
1-1.5"
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? card icon

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

$5.1K vol.

96%
More than 550,000
53%
More than 575,000
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? card icon

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$303.7K vol.

84%
December 31, 2027
53%
December 31, 2026
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$393.2K vol.

24%
December 31, 2028
14%
December 31, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? card icon

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$180.8K vol.

62%
Hodge Conjecture
20%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...? card icon

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$67.6K vol.

69%
December 31, 2027
33%
December 31, 2026
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? card icon

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$28.3K vol.

33%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
25%
Hodge Conjecture
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

57%
Anthropic
42%
SpaceX
Precipitation in NYC in September? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$29.7K vol.

56%
2-3"
37%
3-4"
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$708.7K vol.

99%
October 31
90%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? card icon

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$26.7K vol.

4%
Yes
97%
No
Precipitation in London in September? card icon

Precipitation in London in September?

$25.4K vol.

46%
30-40mm
43%
<30mm
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

6%
Yes
95%
No
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30? card icon

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

$591 vol.

23%
-1.00 to 0.99 ft
23%
-3.00 to -1.01 ft
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? card icon

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

$558 vol.

8%
Yes
95%
No
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$18.7K vol.

97%
<275mm
5%
375-400mm
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? card icon

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$149.8K vol.

8%
Yes
93%
No
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___? card icon

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$15.1K vol.

16%
December 31, 2026
9%
October 31, 2026
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