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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$67.8M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$665.4K vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$151.4K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$78.8K vol.

50%

25%

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.9M vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$223.4K vol.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$121.5K vol.

18%

Yes

83%

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$353K vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

Yes

94%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$993.7K vol.

Precipitation in London in September?

$14.2K vol.

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$10.4K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$127.5K vol.

40%

Hodge Conjecture

30%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$13K vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

$3.2K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$55K vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$11.5K vol.

36%

Hodge Conjecture

31%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

77%

24%

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$12K vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$206.1K vol.

Yes

92%

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$100.7K vol.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$15.5K vol.

86%

<275mm

300-325mm

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

$217 vol.