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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$69.8M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$271.5K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$146.7K vol.

50%

33%

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

75%

24%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$29.7K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$67.6K vol.

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$393.2K vol.

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

$5.1K vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$303.5K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$180.7K vol.

63%

Hodge Conjecture

20%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$29.7K vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$708.7K vol.

99%

October 31

90%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$28.1K vol.

33%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

25%

Hodge Conjecture

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$45.6K vol.

Precipitation in London in September?

$25.3K vol.

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$26.7K vol.

Yes

97%

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

Yes

95%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$149.7K vol.

Yes

93%

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$17.8K vol.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$18.6K vol.

98%

<275mm

275-300mm

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

$539 vol.

Yes

95%

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$15.1K vol.

16%

December 31, 2026

October 31, 2026