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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$70.1M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$162.7K vol.

13%

Yes

88%

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$272K vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

76%

24%

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$50.3K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$147.3K vol.

50%

34%

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$396.1K vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$710.3K vol.

99%

October 31

90%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$304K vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$28.8K vol.

33%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

25%

Hodge Conjecture

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$20.2K vol.

99%

<275mm

375-400mm

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$19.5K vol.

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$30.1K vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$29.9K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$181.7K vol.

62%

Hodge Conjecture

20%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Precipitation in London in September?

$25.7K vol.

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

$1K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$67.6K vol.

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

$5.1K vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

Yes

95%

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

$5K vol.

99%

2nd hottest

1st hottest

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

$558 vol.

Yes

95%

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