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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by December 31, 2027?
$18.8K vol.
73%
Yes28%
NoLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.4M vol.
57%
SpaceX45%
AnthropicSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$99.1K vol.
98%
October 3194%
September 309.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$279.4K vol.
6%
Yes97%
NoSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
$4.6K vol.
87%
Yes14%
NoMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
98%
↑3k94%
↑3.5kWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
77%
122%
2How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
$3.8K vol.
61%
029%
1Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$8.6K vol.
4%
20,000+100%
10,000+How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$326.2K vol.
49%
140-15944%
160-179SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$120.9K vol.
52%
Yes56%
NoMeasles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$19.3K vol.
100%
2600+98%
2650+Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$340.4K vol.
16%
Yes85%
NoNew pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$2.5K vol.
32%
80-9931%
60-79How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.3M vol.
51%
14–1635%
17–19Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
$568 vol.
67%
7.9 or below11%
8.2 – 8.3How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$493.2K vol.
65%
5-634%
<5Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$128.3K vol.
5%
Yes96%
NoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
$2.4K vol.
93%
<0.19%
0.1Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$1.3K vol.
48%
1.42–1.45ºC42%
>1.45ºCFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$1.2K vol.
27%
December 31, 20268%
October 31, 2026